Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.029018 0.033781 0.039027 0.045224 0.052337 0.060239 0.069674
2025-10-05 0.022954 0.029431 0.037218 0.047236 0.059749 0.074827 0.094336
2025-10-12 0.018581 0.025920 0.035439 0.048616 0.066303 0.089125 0.120698
2025-10-19 0.014523 0.021867 0.032066 0.047141 0.068700 0.098242 0.141566
2025-10-26 0.011846 0.019105 0.029824 0.046615 0.072016 0.108700 0.165295
2025-11-02 0.009607 0.016514 0.027308 0.045144 0.073539 0.116544 0.185988
2025-11-09 0.007954 0.014507 0.025297 0.044022 0.075253 0.124636 0.207725
2025-11-16 0.006839 0.013174 0.024118 0.043977 0.078530 0.135335 0.234508
2025-11-23 0.005761 0.011698 0.022442 0.042792 0.079655 0.142532 0.256204
2025-11-30 0.005300 0.011280 0.022552 0.044725 0.086330 0.159616 0.296180
2025-12-07 0.004673 0.010421 0.021709 0.044756 0.089533 0.170933 0.327178
2025-12-14 0.003991 0.009328 0.020242 0.043369 0.089873 0.177077 0.349394
2025-12-21 0.003482 0.008526 0.019260 0.042850 0.091905 0.186714 0.379406
2025-12-28 0.003298 0.008415 0.019699 0.045305 0.100142 0.208963 0.435625
2026-01-04 0.003062 0.008140 0.019739 0.046914 0.106832 0.228866 0.489248
2026-01-11 0.002648 0.007359 0.018535 0.045625 0.107235 0.236222 0.518536
2026-01-18 0.002346 0.006802 0.017759 0.045185 0.109403 0.247368 0.556602
2026-01-25 0.002031 0.006147 0.016645 0.043790 0.109244 0.253559 0.584825
2026-02-01 0.001776 0.005605 0.015722 0.042716 0.109671 0.261009 0.616394
2026-02-08 0.001603 0.005260 0.015247 0.042681 0.112528 0.274063 0.661418
2026-02-15 0.001403 0.004797 0.014386 0.041533 0.112534 0.280648 0.692516
2026-02-22 0.001344 0.004753 0.014660 0.043414 0.120301 0.305896 0.768632
2026-03-01 0.001223 0.004487 0.014271 0.043445 0.123350 0.320295 0.820706